Imminent risk of recession in the euro area

Imminent risk of recession in the euro area

January 22, 2019

Growth in the euro area, Sweden’s most vital export market, slowed considerably over the course of 2018. When presenting its new macroeconomic projection in December, however, the European Central Bank, or ECB, predicted that growth would recover. We have analysed a number of different forecast models and scenarios and can state that the ECB’s assessment, … Read More

Macro Forecasting – New drivers of inflation

Macro Forecasting – New drivers of inflation

September 3, 2018

Over the last few decades, structural changes have affected the drivers of inflation, from domestic factors on which central banks normally focus, such as wages, productivity and inflation expectations, to more global factors. Analyses performed using a new forecasting tool support these results. The latest information available indicates that inflation in Sweden will fall to … Read More